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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ISMS2222 | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 36% (25–44, n=69) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 47% (14382–15903, n=30285) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $172K | $5.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #705 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (24 of 42 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −15 pts, n=16 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 44% of 59 at avg 41¢, ROI +7% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 36% (won 33% of 21) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 27% (won 19% of 16) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 29% (won 65% of 17) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 8% (won 100% of 5) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ISMS2222 | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $75K | Yes $33K | — | — |