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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677nehaip
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–665, n=1225)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (11–6, n=17)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M$5.6M$14K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #1PM monthly #561
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)66% (200 of 302 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)—
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677nehaip
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16K——No $4.3K