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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorphell0pia
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)59% (71–49, n=120)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$116K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #843
Sides with the consensus77% (27 of 35 open)73% (111 of 153 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NBA −32 pts, n=10
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%60% of 117 at avg 57¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)18% (won 29% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)12% (won 50% of 14)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)37% (won 63% of 43)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 77% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorphell0pia
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $292KJaguars $288—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Warriors $2.0KHeat $79—