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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankEnd123omnibus-076daaprimm
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)65% (283–155, n=438)50% (15670–15749, n=31419)49% (1129–1155, n=2284)
Consensus PnL$7.3M-$25K$3.1M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #793PM monthly #185PM monthly #50
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)100% (2 of 2 open)54% (91 of 167 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −18 pts, n=18——
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 443 at avg 63¢, ROI −1%92% of 11407 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)14% (won 13% of 62)8% (won 61% of 889)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)10% (won 42% of 45)21% (won 87% of 2410)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)30% (won 63% of 135)38% (won 95% of 4354)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)45% (won 85% of 201)33% (won 99% of 3754)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankEnd123omnibus-076daaprimm
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K—Yes $167—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25K—Yes $131—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $20K—Yes $275—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K—Yes $71—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K—Yes $59—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28—Yes $41—