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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | End123 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 65% (277–146, n=423) | 50% (15393–15458, n=30851) | 47% (13886–15398, n=29284) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | -$17K | $3.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #807 | PM monthly #59 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (23 of 34 open) | 93% (37 of 40 open) | 55% (72 of 130 open) | 57% (16 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −18 pts, n=18 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 422 at avg 63¢, ROI −1% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 14% (won 11% of 57) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 10% (won 42% of 43) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 31% (won 63% of 132) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 45% (won 86% of 190) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.