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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ElonSpam | primm | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 45% (1260–1550, n=2810) | 50% (1053–1054, n=2107) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $88K | $3.5M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #947 | PM monthly #61 | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (39 of 56 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −24 pts, n=16 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 48% of 3107 at avg 47¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 955 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 34% (won 9% of 1050) | 5% (won 94% of 50) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 15% (won 39% of 466) | 41% (won 99% of 392) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 59% of 732) | 49% (won 99% of 469) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 28% (won 92% of 859) | 5% (won 100% of 44) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ElonSpam | primm | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $7.5K | Yes $3.0K | — | — |