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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankDegenKingBetterndb1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)59% (87–60, n=147)65% (901–484, n=1385)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$115K$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #488PM monthly #101
Sides with the consensus71% (24 of 34 open)50% (1 of 2 open)70% (106 of 151 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=33, ROI +17%
  • MLB +14 pts n=66, ROI +16%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%68% of 131 at avg 54¢, ROI +13%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)5% (won 0% of 7)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)21% (won 67% of 27)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)71% (won 72% of 93)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)3% (won 100% of 4)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankDegenKingBetterndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407K—No $335K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $278K—Yes $11K