PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCORGIIbeachboy40x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)45% (501–606, n=1107)63% (375–222, n=597)69% (43–19, n=62)56% (100–79, n=179)
Consensus PnL$12.1M$4.4M$5.8M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #126was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus73% (24 of 33 open)50% (2 of 4 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=91—
Settled positions, side won97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 91% of 35)3% (won 17% of 6)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 181)55% (won 99% of 209)29% (won 56% of 62)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 99% of 176)34% (won 100% of 128)54% (won 52% of 114)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 105)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.