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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bloodmaster2nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)62% (13–8, n=21)55% (433–356, n=789)
Consensus PnL-$76K$365K
Tracked asPM monthly #707PM monthly #148
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (104 of 188 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won81% of 16 at avg 79¢, ROI −22%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢0%13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢0%24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 80% of 5)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up69% (won 82% of 11)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.