← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BikesAreTheBikes | BreakTheBank | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | lastminwin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 96% (291–13, n=304) | 43% (46–60, n=106) | 86% (12–2, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $8.4M | $119K | $285K |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #102 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (55 of 103 open) | 82% (32 of 39 open) | 55% (18 of 33 open) | 74% (43 of 58 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 69% of 36) | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 97% of 116) | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 37% (won 99% of 124) | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 17% (won 100% of 56) | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.