Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BeastsBreakTheBankndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)34% (12–23, n=35)45% (573–710, n=1283)63% (990–573, n=1563)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)
Consensus PnL$74K$7.9M$3.2M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #364PM monthly #3PM monthly #104PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position83% (24 of 29 open)73% (81 of 111 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicEsports −5 pts, n=16—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won40% of 20 at avg 43¢, ROI −1%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 29% of 7)11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 43% of 7)35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 33% of 3)35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up15% (won 67% of 3)20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBeastsBreakTheBankndb1primm
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $7Yes $993K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407KNo $335K—