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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Baby-CypyaBreakTheBankndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (589–853, n=1442)64% (1097–630, n=1727)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)
Consensus PnL—$7.6M$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #963PM monthly #3PM monthly #97PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position89% (32 of 36 open)73% (111 of 152 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBaby-CypyaBreakTheBankndb1primm
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $409KNo $337K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $292KYes $11K—