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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BABELCONSTEL | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (314–69, n=383) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | -$551K | $4.2M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #314 | PM monthly #140 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 60% (109 of 181 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 723 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 79% of 103) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 549) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BABELCONSTEL | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | No $2.2K |
| Villa Maria: Lucio Ratti vs Carlos Maria Zarate same side · consensus Carlos Maria Zarate | Carlos Maria Zarate $2.4K | — | — | Carlos Maria Zarate $3.7K |