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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BABELCONSTEL | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (321–71, n=392) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | -$551K | $5.6M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #322 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (4 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (7 of 7 open) | 56% (76 of 136 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 726 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 79% of 103) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 552) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BABELCONSTEL | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flames vs. Kraken opposite sides · consensus Flames | Flames $13K | — | — | Kraken $1.9K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Central Michigan $4.2K | Eastern Michigan $2.0K |
| Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | — | Eastern Michigan $161 | Central Michigan $50 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Central Michigan $6 | Eastern Michigan $4 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-14.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Central Michigan $4.9K | Central Michigan $3.3K |