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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (335–72, n=407) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 50% (1105–1117, n=2222) |
| Consensus PnL | -$561K | $7.9M | $3.2M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #385 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 81% (25 of 31 open) | 72% (69 of 96 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 726 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 412) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 79% of 103) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 50% (won 99% of 503) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 552) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | Yes $1.0M | — |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $141 | — | Yes $1.0M | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | No $335K | — |