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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (339–73, n=412) | 44% (574–717, n=1291) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 47% (14184–15686, n=29870) |
| Consensus PnL | -$566K | $7.9M | $5.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #414 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (23 of 27 open) | no open consensus position | 43% (12 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 726 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 79% of 103) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 552) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Warriors $2.6K | — | Warriors $380 |