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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ArtemiionFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)47% (164–187, n=351)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)43% (10–13, n=23)63% (1096–631, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$77K$4.1M$3.3M$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #376PM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #110
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (101 of 145 open)no open consensus position72% (71 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won82% of 44 at avg 51¢, ROI +63%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 75% of 8)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 58% of 12)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 93% of 15)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 9)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.