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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ArtemiionBreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)47% (159–181, n=340)45% (576–717, n=1293)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL$77K$7.3M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #370PM monthly #3PM monthly #97
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (22 of 25 open)73% (53 of 73 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=144
Settled positions, side won81% of 48 at avg 52¢, ROI +63%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 15% of 186)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 62% of 13)35% (won 98% of 204)19% (won 39% of 267)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 94% of 16)35% (won 100% of 202)23% (won 58% of 326)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 91% of 11)20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 619)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketArtemiionBreakTheBankndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $409KNo $337K