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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Ariola76 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 65% (901–484, n=1385) | 47% (13877–15390, n=29267) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $9.4M | $4.4M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #383 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #101 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 71% (24 of 34 open) | 70% (106 of 151 open) | 48% (13 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Ariola76 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | No $335K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $278K | Yes $11K | — |