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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AndreasSchm | MD14 | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (4–0, n=4) | 81% (22–5, n=27) | 54% (441–371, n=812) | 58% (11–8, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.8K | $328K | $325K | $769K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #724 | PM monthly #118 | PM monthly #148 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 14 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (104 of 183 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | 58% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 21% (won 80% of 5) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | 33% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 63% (won 100% of 15) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AndreasSchm | MD14 | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $410 | — | No $4.5K | — |