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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AckbarferrariChampions2026primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (33–37, n=70)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)47% (1413–1577, n=2990)48% (19574–21323, n=40897)
Consensus PnL-$41K-$9.4M$3.7M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998was PM monthly #87PM monthly #40PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (5 of 8 open)no open consensus position59% (16 of 27 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNBA −2 pts, n=59———
Settled positions, side won46% of 68 at avg 48¢, ROI −5%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 20% of 5)4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 41% of 22)26% (won 100% of 1446)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 51% of 41)40% (won 100% of 2198)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up0%30% (won 100% of 1675)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAckbarferrariChampions2026primmRN1
Hersonissos 3: Oleksii Krutykh vs Oskari Paldanius
opposite sides · consensus Oskari Paldanius
—Oleksii Krutykh $5—Oskari Paldanius $37K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360