← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AMike | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 80% (12–3, n=15) | no settled market | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 66% (870–454, n=1324) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.5K | — | $11.2M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #684 | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #12 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (43 of 63 open) | 68% (25 of 37 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +13% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 0% of 4) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 33% (won 80% of 5) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 100% of 6) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.