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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AML | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | MD14 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4–3, n=7) | 58% (21–15, n=36) | 52% (583–536, n=1119) | 84% (26–5, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $362K | $886K | $404K | $341K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #126 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 68% (34 of 50 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 22 at avg 48¢, ROI +53% | 100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 90% of 29 at avg 72¢, ROI +20% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 2% (won 100% of 5) | 3% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 59% (won 100% of 13) | 31% (won 100% of 84) | 10% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 32% (won 100% of 7) | 60% (won 100% of 161) | 21% (won 83% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 7% (won 100% of 20) | 66% (won 95% of 19) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AML | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | MD14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus Spirit | — | FURIA $21K | — | Spirit $29K |