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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 76marsh | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (23–5, n=28) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 47% (14240–15745, n=29985) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | $7.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #630 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 81% (29 of 36 open) | 65% (116 of 179 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 63¢, ROI +44% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 100% of 7) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 100% of 7) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 76marsh | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Grizzlies $14K | Thunder $958 |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | Raptors $450 | Bucks $107 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $50 | Thunder $492 |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) same side · consensus Bucks | — | Raptors $122 | Raptors $149 |