PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
38791873984189CORGIIBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)44% (3518–4461, n=7979)62% (386–233, n=619)45% (516–628, n=1144)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL-$21K$4.5M$10.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #890PM monthly #78PM monthly #1was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus62% (59 of 95 open)no open consensus position67% (26 of 39 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 91% of 35)10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—56% (won 99% of 214)35% (won 98% of 181)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 100% of 129)34% (won 99% of 176)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up—2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 105)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market38791873984189CORGIIBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $11—No $247K—
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7—No $38K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6—Yes $37K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $18—No $35K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11—Yes $27K—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13—Yes $259K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1—Yes $30K—
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $27—No $14K—