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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 38791873984189 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (3518–4461, n=7979) | 45% (516–628, n=1144) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | -$21K | $10.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #960 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (50 of 80 open) | 67% (26 of 39 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 38791873984189 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $11 | No $247K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $7 | No $38K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $6 | Yes $37K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $18 | No $35K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $7 | Yes $23K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $13 | Yes $259K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $1 | Yes $30K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $15 | No $14K | — |