Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
328.400.fundBreakTheBankjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)61% (33–21, n=54)45% (573–710, n=1283)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (987–572, n=1559)
Consensus PnL$19K$7.9M$5.3M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #879PM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #102
Sides with the consensus20% (1 of 5 open)79% (27 of 34 open)no open consensus position75% (100 of 134 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won76% of 51 at avg 67¢, ROI +4%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 11% of 9)11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 83% of 6)35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 80% of 5)35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up61% (won 94% of 31)20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market328.400.fundBreakTheBankjoseph00677ndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407K—No $335K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $278K—Yes $11K