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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 319113331313111 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (81–35, n=116) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 63% (1095–631, n=1726) |
| Consensus PnL | $22K | $7.7M | $3.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #965 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #118 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 78% (35 of 45 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (70 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 64 at avg 70¢, ROI −7% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 67% of 3) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 100% of 4) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 41% (won 100% of 26) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 48% (won 100% of 31) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 319113331313111 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $421K | — | No $346K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $306K | — | Yes $12K |