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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 24Warrior | classified | denizz | e46m3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 59% (191–132, n=323) | 70% (172–74, n=246) | 32% (520–1095, n=1615) |
| Consensus PnL | $41K | $783K | $2.3M | $536K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #640 | PM monthly #341 | PM monthly #154 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (19 of 28 open) | 89% (25 of 28 open) | 74% (324 of 439 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −2 pts, n=101 | Politics −2 pts, n=16 | Tech ±0 pts, n=36 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7% | 93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 46% (won 4% of 152) | 26% (won 6% of 63) | 7% (won 11% of 46) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 4% (won 47% of 15) | 12% (won 57% of 30) | 1% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 7% (won 78% of 23) | 13% (won 66% of 32) | 1% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 43% (won 98% of 144) | 49% (won 96% of 120) | 90% (won 100% of 565) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 24Warrior | classified | denizz | e46m3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $12 | No $40K | — |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.3K | Yes $25K | — |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $213 | Yes $11K | — |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $7.3K | Yes $60 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? same side · consensus No | — | No $13K | No $251K | — |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $32K | Yes $87 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $469 | No $1.7K | — |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.2K | Yes $6 |
| Will Eli Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $414 | Yes $12 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $49 | Yes $6 |