PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (254–289, n=543)85% (236–41, n=277)49% (813–835, n=1648)
Consensus PnL—-$20K$429K$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #994PM monthly #465PM monthly #485PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus52% (11 of 21 open)100% (2 of 2 open)82% (58 of 71 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +43 pts n=210, ROI +42%
  • Soccer +44 pts n=10, ROI +43%
  • NBA +31 pts n=14, ROI +28%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 251 at avg 55¢, ROI +41%91% of 289 at avg 89¢, ROI +1%99% of 740 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 94% of 16)8% (won 0% of 22)5% (won 93% of 40)
Entries 30–50¢—33% (won 96% of 82)1% (won 50% of 4)41% (won 99% of 305)
Entries 50–70¢—42% (won 97% of 105)2% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 363)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 48)89% (won 100% of 256)4% (won 100% of 32)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.