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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1nvoker1BreakTheBankjoseph00677omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)61% (334–212, n=546)45% (573–710, n=1283)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (15433–15507, n=30940)
Consensus PnL$25K$7.9M$5.3M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #944PM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #59
Sides with the consensus67% (43 of 64 open)79% (27 of 34 open)no open consensus position55% (77 of 140 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicCrypto −9 pts, n=20———
Settled positions, side won48% of 555 at avg 45¢, ROI −1%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢43% (won 5% of 238)11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 37% of 54)35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 75% of 67)35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 94% of 196)20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market1nvoker1BreakTheBankjoseph00677omnibus-076daa
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.0K—Yes $154
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $278K—Yes $3
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $22K—Yes $117
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $16K—Yes $215
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5——Yes $2.3K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.3K—Yes $64
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $33
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $28—Yes $41