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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1nvoker1BreakTheBankjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)60% (320–210, n=530)45% (549–663, n=1212)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$22K$11.2M$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #974PM monthly #2PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus67% (20 of 30 open)68% (28 of 41 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCrypto −10 pts, n=18——
Settled positions, side won48% of 543 at avg 45¢, ROI −1%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢43% (won 6% of 236)10% (won 81% of 57)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 37% of 54)36% (won 98% of 201)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 73% of 62)35% (won 99% of 196)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 94% of 191)19% (won 100% of 109)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market1nvoker1BreakTheBankjoseph00677
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $5No $2.9K—