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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
121212121212121212121212BreakTheBankRN1SineNooneEI
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)60% (12–8, n=20)69% (305–140, n=445)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL$599$779K-$54K$111K
Tracked asPM monthly #518PM monthly #1PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #112
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)1% (won 100% of 3)5% (won 83% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)26% (won 100% of 62)36% (won 88% of 182)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)40% (won 100% of 95)44% (won 93% of 224)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)33% (won 100% of 80)16% (won 99% of 82)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.