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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 12121110101 | HomeRunHazard | lllllllIlll | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 0% (0–2, n=2) | 55% (216–179, n=395) | 36% (4–7, n=11) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | -$6.1K | $290K | $165K | $208K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #599 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #634 | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 62% (84 of 135 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 5 at avg 64¢, ROI +32% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 0% | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 40% (won 100% of 2) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 12121110101 | HomeRunHazard | lllllllIlll | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) same side · consensus Warriors | Rockets $305 | Rockets $31K | — | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets same side · consensus Rockets | Rockets $228 | Rockets $20K | — | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $410 | Nuggets $5.0K | — | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Thunder $164 | Thunder $4.6K | — | — |