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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (2–2, n=4)44% (110–140, n=250)0% (0–1, n=1)
Consensus PnL—-$6.1K$276K-$16K
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #23PM monthly #29PM monthly #228
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)71% (5 of 7 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topic—NBA −2 pts, n=33——
Settled positions, side won—57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 32% of 19)6% (won 100% of 9)6% (won 17% of 29)
Entries 30–50¢—29% (won 48% of 97)42% (won 100% of 63)35% (won 46% of 171)
Entries 50–70¢—45% (won 55% of 150)40% (won 100% of 61)47% (won 66% of 233)
Entries 70¢ and up—21% (won 80% of 71)12% (won 100% of 18)13% (won 89% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.