Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026primmUpTheBlueswesolyjasiu
Record (consensus markets)35% (3639–6643, n=10282)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)50% (20646–20453, n=41099)99% (1949–14, n=1963)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$3.6M$3.1M$9.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #122PM monthly #53PM monthly #8PM monthly #664
Sides with the consensus73% (11 of 15 open)no open consensus position68% (30 of 44 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%100% of 1561 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2699)0% (won 0% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢—41% (won 99% of 418)20% (won 100% of 7974)0% (won 40% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 99% of 504)22% (won 100% of 8588)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 47)52% (won 100% of 20470)99% (won 100% of 1551)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026primmUpTheBlueswesolyjasiu
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Under $7.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Under $21K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21—Yes $3.7K—