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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | livesportins | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (11396–14488, n=25884) | 56% (9–7, n=16) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.8M | -$2.5K | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | was PM monthly #982 | PM monthly #108 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (23 of 33 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 16 at avg 48¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 69% (won 55% of 11) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 25% (won 75% of 4) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 0% | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | livesportins | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus No | — | No $18 | No $24K |