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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026GC-Pndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)57% (8727–6701, n=15428)63% (1101–635, n=1736)48% (19652–21409, n=41061)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M-$263K$4.6M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #517PM monthly #109PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)60% (12 of 20 open)70% (67 of 96 open)59% (16 of 27 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%100% of 5640 at avg 72¢, ROI +28%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 99% of 286)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)18% (won 100% of 988)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)18% (won 100% of 1041)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)59% (won 100% of 3325)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026GC-Pndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $1.2K—Over $1.7K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $24Yes $12K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $585—No $2.5K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $23No $350K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $141No $1.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
same side · consensus Alex Michelsen
Yannick Hanfmann $207——Yannick Hanfmann $885