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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfe787d...d10319Flaznorpjoseph00677Randomfool
Record (consensus markets)36% (3228–5686, n=8914)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)53% (10–9, n=19)no settled market
Consensus PnL$3.8M$3.3M$5.6M—
Tracked asPM monthly #772PM monthly #21PM monthly #3PM monthly #995
Sides with the consensus43% (3 of 7 open)63% (130 of 205 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Tennis −1 pts, n=24
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%98% of 124 at avg 96¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)0%
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)0%
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)100% (won 98% of 124)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xfe787d...d10319Flaznorpjoseph00677Randomfool
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Clippers $1.1KHeat $8——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.5KUnder $13K——
Lakers vs. Kings
same side · consensus Lakers
Kings $3.8KKings $990——