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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | BreakTheBank | livesportins | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (11774–15353, n=27127) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 56% (9–7, n=16) | 63% (1101–635, n=1736) |
| Consensus PnL | -$9.5M | $8.4M | -$2.5K | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #982 | PM monthly #109 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 70% (67 of 96 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 16 at avg 48¢, ROI +8% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 14% of 196) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 69% (won 55% of 11) | 18% (won 40% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 25% (won 75% of 4) | 23% (won 58% of 348) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 0% | 46% (won 94% of 710) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | BreakTheBank | livesportins | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $427K | — | No $350K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $308K | — | Yes $12K |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $18 | No $24K |