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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankbrrrrother444Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)35% (3635–6656, n=10291)45% (573–710, n=1283)50% (1–1, n=2)52% (6417–5939, n=12356)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$9.4M$60K$3.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #772PM monthly #3PM monthly #444PM monthly #22
Sides with the consensus82% (9 of 11 open)85% (29 of 34 open)no open consensus position72% (142 of 196 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic———Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 1 at avg 48¢, ROI +52%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)0%29% (won 11% of 423)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)100% (won 100% of 1)16% (won 40% of 243)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)0%17% (won 62% of 255)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)0%38% (won 94% of 561)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankbrrrrother444Flaznorp
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller
opposite sides · consensus Alexandre Muller
Charles Broom $11K——Alexandre Muller $1.2K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $154——Yes $2.6K
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $222——Clippers $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K——Under $14K
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $1.8K——Clippers $103