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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankRN1vtcchampion52
Record (consensus markets)35% (3634–6648, n=10282)45% (573–710, n=1283)47% (13828–15322, n=29150)46% (271–316, n=587)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$9.4M$14.8M$12K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #772PM monthly #1PM monthly #29 + pinnedwas PM monthly #287
Sides with the consensus86% (6 of 7 open)54% (15 of 28 open)62% (37 of 60 open)80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%46% of 540 at avg 44¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)41% (won 3% of 223)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)17% (won 34% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)13% (won 78% of 72)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)29% (won 99% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankRN1vtcchampion52
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3K—Over $1.4K—
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $235—Clippers $965—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.2K—Over $360—
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $963—Clippers $240—