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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankPexter54321RN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3635–6656, n=10291)45% (573–710, n=1283)50% (1–1, n=2)47% (13863–15370, n=29233)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$9.4M$21K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #541PM monthly #3was PM monthly #997PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (7 of 10 open)85% (29 of 34 open)no open consensus position50% (14 of 28 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%50% of 2 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)0%10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)0%22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)50% (won 0% of 1)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)50% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankPexter54321RN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Shubladze
Alexandra Shubladze $3.4K——Elena Pridankina $4.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.6K——Over $1.5K
Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura
opposite sides · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
Masamichi Imamura $369——Yosuke Watanuki $286
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360
Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
Harold Mayot $73——Harold Mayot $123