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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfda1fa1672697944f9e78479837fedac44e3416cHomeRunHazardMD14Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)53% (494–432, n=926)81% (22–5, n=27)58% (11–8, n=19)
Consensus PnL$849$353K$328K$769K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #164PM monthly #8PM monthly #118was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)66% (136 of 205 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 3)4% (won 0% of 1)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 70)13% (won 100% of 3)58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 135)21% (won 80% of 5)33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 16)63% (won 100% of 15)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xfda1fa1672697944f9e78479837fedac44e3416cHomeRunHazardMD14Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $468Cavaliers $13K——