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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (14–6, n=20) | 48% (12315–13193, n=25508) | 45% (516–628, n=1144) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$22K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #860 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (9 of 11 open) | 43% (19 of 44 open) | 65% (28 of 43 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 530 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 56% of 2507) | 10% (won 83% of 54) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5408) | 35% (won 98% of 188) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 99% of 8790) | 34% (won 99% of 182) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 31% (won 100% of 7551) | 20% (won 100% of 106) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9.3K | — | No $152K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $49K | — | Yes $30K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $41K | — | No $7.9K | — |