Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfFFF6537BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1
Record (consensus markets)40% (486–732, n=1218)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)48% (19574–21323, n=40897)
Consensus PnL$79K$8.4M-$9.4M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #611PM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (29 of 33 open)67% (6 of 9 open)61% (17 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicCrypto −3 pts, n=916———
Settled positions, side won39% of 1018 at avg 41¢, ROI −6%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 13% of 345)10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 31% of 371)36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 73% of 211)35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 99% of 91)20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xfFFF6537BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $1.7K
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
——Adrian Andreev $16KAdrian Andreev $2.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KOver $360
Hersonissos 3: Alexandre Reco vs Lorenzo Carboni
same side · consensus Lorenzo Carboni
——Lorenzo Carboni $26Lorenzo Carboni $339