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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfFFF6537BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)44% (77–97, n=174)41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$58K$7.6M$3.7M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #809PM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (29 of 33 open)68% (161 of 236 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +14 pts n=11, ROI −9%
  • NHL +8 pts n=16, ROI −5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCrypto −5 pts, n=117—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won41% of 189 at avg 44¢, ROI −5%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 12% of 65)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 28% of 60)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 68% of 34)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 100% of 30)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.