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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf0afe8f44d0e37c3ca79dc6b0f673be64b6160d8-1793924634653BreakTheBankndb1SineNooneEI
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (12–8, n=20)no settled market100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL—$779K—$111K
Tracked asPM monthly #888PM monthly #1PM monthly #150PM monthly #114
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position58% (7 of 12 open)no open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=71—
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)19% (won 10% of 96)5% (won 83% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)21% (won 35% of 105)36% (won 88% of 182)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)27% (won 54% of 132)44% (won 93% of 224)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)33% (won 91% of 163)16% (won 99% of 82)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.