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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (12–8, n=20)50% (2–2, n=4)no settled market
Consensus PnL—$779K-$6.1K—
Tracked asPM monthly #894PM monthly #1PM monthly #23PM monthly #158
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topic——NBA −2 pts, n=33NFL −8 pts, n=71
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)6% (won 32% of 19)19% (won 10% of 96)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)29% (won 48% of 97)21% (won 35% of 105)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)45% (won 55% of 150)27% (won 54% of 132)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)21% (won 80% of 71)33% (won 91% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.