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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 0xeA3DeD580E454AAdaffd7c2df80616AA8e39524D-1779286950371 | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (15–7, n=22) | 55% (201–167, n=368) | 45% (200–248, n=448) |
| Consensus PnL | $16K | $227K | $28K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #732 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #44 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 70% (52 of 74 open) | 77% (20 of 26 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 9 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 100% of 2) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 38% (won 100% of 51) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 78% (won 100% of 7) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 50% (won 100% of 68) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 7% (won 100% of 9) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xeA3DeD580E454AAdaffd7c2df80616AA8e39524D-1779286950371 | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3.1K | Under $8.2K |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | Bucks $1.3K | Lakers $3.4K |
| Spread: Pacers (-2.5) same side · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $1.8K | Pacers $3 |